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July 12, 2013

Computers may not improve predictions of repeat criminals

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Wholesale Replica Bags A Replica Bags Wholesale comparison of the volunteers’ answers with COMPAS’ Replica Designer Handbags predictions for the same 1,000 defendants found that both were about 65 percent accurate. “You have this commercial software that’s been used for years in courts around Handbags Replica the country how is it that we just asked a bunch of people online and replica handbags online [the results] are the same?” Wholesale Replica Bags

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replica Purse Judges could get some better perspective on recidivism predictors’ performance if the Department of Justice or National Institute for Standards and KnockOff Handbags Technology established a vetting process for new https://www.handbagsmerchant.com software, Farid says. Researchers could test computer programs Fake Designer Bags against a large, diverse dataset of defendants and OK algorithms for courtroom use wholesale replica designer handbags only if they get a passing grade for prediction. replica Purse

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Replica Designer Handbags “Maybe there will be huge breakthroughs in data analytics and machine learning over the next decade that [help us] do this with a high Replica Handbags accuracy,” he says. But until then, humans may make better crime predictors than machines. After all, if a bunch of average Joe online recruits gave COMPAS a run for its money, criminal justice experts like social Replica Bags workers, parole officers, judges or detectives might just outperform the algorithm. Replica Designer Handbags

Replica Bags Wholesale Even if computer programs aren’t used to predict recidivism, that doesn’t mean they can’t aid law enforcement, says Chelsea Barabas, a media researcher at MIT. Instead of creating algorithms Replica Designer Handbags that use historic crime data to predict who will reoffend, purse replica handbags programmers could build algorithms that examine crime data to find trends that inform criminal justice research, Barabas and colleagues argue in a paper to be presented at the KnockOff Handbags Conference on Fairness, Accountability and Transparency in New York City on February 23. Replica Bags Wholesale

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